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莫迪选举大胜 对中国是好事？四个信号不正常

A China-centric solution is like “whack-a-mole.”

以中国为核心的解决方案就像“打鼹鼠”游戏。

因为根本问题并未得到解决：

Eliminating one piece of the trade deficit without fixing the saving problem — a very real possibility in light of a further depression of domestic saving following from the ill-timed Trump tax cuts of late 2017 — simply means that trade will be diverted from China to other foreign producers.

由于2017年末特朗普减税的时机不合时宜，直接的可能性是国内储蓄进一步低迷。在不解决储蓄问题的情况下，消除一部分贸易逆差，只意味着贸易将从中国转移到其他外国生产商手中。

Inasmuch as China is one of America's lowest cost foreign suppliers， that means the trade diversion will invariably go to higher cost foreign producers — the functional equivalent of a tax hike on American consumers.

由于中国是美国成本最低的外国供应商之一，这意味着贸易转移必然会流向成本较高的外国生产商。这就相当于在美国消费者头上增税。

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